Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xdae7…3760 crypto 61 markets active 3d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (112 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+0%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate59%36W / 25L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day112.3pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% −$20
sports 10% +$5
other 5% $0
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (112 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -3.7% -12.9% 59% 48% -10.9%
≤30d 61 -3.7% -12.9% 59% 48% -10.9%
≤90d 61 -3.7% -12.9% 59% 48% -10.9%
all 61 -3.7% -12.9% 59% 48% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 48% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 43% -19.4%
15% -28.9% 26% -27.2%
20% -35.8% 10% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +18% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$9 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses36 / 25
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage3d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day112.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 61 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +43%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7 −$5 -67%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $129 −$124 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $97 +$31 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $108 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$15 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$46 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $76 +$27 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$22 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 $0 -3%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 +$3 +103%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $13 +$4 +30%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -35%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $22 −$7 -32%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 +$4 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 72¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 14¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 46¢ $1 3d
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score SELL No 71¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 38¢ $2 3d
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 333 history records