trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 43% | 36% | +6.4% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +25.5% | +13.5% | 44% | 41% | +23.8% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +25.5% | +13.5% | 44% | 41% | +23.8% |
| all | 27 | +25.5% | +13.5% | 44% | 41% | +23.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.5% | 41% | +23.8% |
| 10% | +2.7% | 41% | +12.0% |
| 15% | -7.2% | 37% | +1.2% |
| 20% | -16.3% | 37% | -8.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-14%) |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Jun 24 | $78 | +$21 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | +$25 | +97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Jun 24 | $51 | +$5 | +9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | +$18 | +70% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$49 | +474% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$29 | +283% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$22 | +213% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$16 | +161% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$5 | -89% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$2 | -19% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$57 | +442% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$20 | +191% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$7 | +69% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |