Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:25:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdacb…2a6a
other · 14 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$43 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses12 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)13 / 14
History coverage43d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days−$85
14 days−$71
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $100 −$98 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $103 +$4 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $94 +$9 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $84 +$6 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $85 +$8 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $83 +$2 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $79 +$6 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $50 +$4 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $74 +$3 +5%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 11 $50 +$3 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 05 $50 +$6 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 04 $10 $0 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 03 $10 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 94¢ $25 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $100 8h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $103 2d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $94 7d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? BUY Yes 93¢ $84 10d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? BUY Yes 91¢ $85 14d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? BUY Yes 97¢ $83 17d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? BUY Yes 92¢ $79 19d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? BUY Yes 93¢ $50 22d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? BUY Yes 94¢ $25 26d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? BUY Yes 96¢ $50 26d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $53 33d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? BUY Yes 93¢ $50 33d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $55 39d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? BUY Yes 89¢ $50 39d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 40d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 40d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? BUY Yes 90¢ $10 43d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -28.0% -34.9% 67% 0% -35.3%
≤30d 9 -4.9% -14.0% 89% 0% -16.1%
≤90d 13 -1.0% -10.4% 92% 15% -14.1%
all 13 -1.0% -10.4% 92% 15% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 15% -14.1%
10% -19.0% 0% -22.4%
15% -26.8% 0% -29.9%
20% -34.0% 0% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.47 · official $26.47 (match) · 28 history records