Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:57:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdac4…eaf3
sports · 216 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$255 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$254 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$254
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses113 / 100
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)213 / 216
History coverage108d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 28¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 25¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-58%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $3 +$1 +31%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 08 $2 +$1 +37%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $5 +$2 +30%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $2 +$4 +171%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman Jun 07 $5 +$1 +12%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $5 +$1 +17%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 20 $1 $0 +4%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $10 +$4 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +11%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $10 +$10 +95%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev May 16 $10 +$1 +5%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina May 15 $5 +$18 +344%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschul May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 10 $1 $0 +13%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchova May 08 $10 +$2 +24%
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Celtics vs. 76ers May 01 $10 $0 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? May 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Apr 30 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 29 $1 $0 +44%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 29 $15 $0 +2%
Flyers vs. Penguins Apr 28 $15 +$5 +31%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +2%
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Apr 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4AM ET Apr 24 $5 $0 +1%
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? Apr 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Hawks (-9.5) Apr 22 $1 $0 -30%
Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Millen Hurrion Apr 22 $5 +$3 +55%
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnet Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 19 $10 +$1 +11%
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Shelton Apr 18 $10 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down on April 17? Apr 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovich Apr 16 $6 +$2 +38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 7? Apr 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw? Apr 16 $20 +$4 +20%
Madrid: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalieva Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bruins vs. Lightning Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $10 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$217
crypto 13% −$3
other 9% +$7
finance 6% −$27
world 1% −$18
culture 1% −$1
tech 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt BUY Jamie Mackenzie 28¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $3 24h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli BUY Jesper de Jong 75¢ $3 2d
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik BUY Mimi Xu 8¢ $2 3d
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan BUY Taylah Preston 27¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp BUY Tallon Griekspoor 87¢ $2 4d
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas BUY Liam Broady 72¢ $2 5d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Pierre-Hugues Herbert 37¢ $2 5d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar BUY Daniel Merida Aguilar 22¢ $1 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 76¢ $5 5d
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau BUY Alexis Galarneau 36¢ $2 6d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman BUY Shuai Zhang 88¢ $5 6d
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 84¢ $5 6d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 32¢ $10 23d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 24d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 71¢ $10 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 26d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 26d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons SELL Cavaliers 83¢ $20 26d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Cavaliers 41¢ $10 26d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Jannik Sinner 94¢ $10 27d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina BUY Elina Svitolina 22¢ $5 29d
Thunder vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 14¢ $5 32d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschul BUY Botic van de Zandschulp 73¢ $2 33d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 34d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchova BUY Anastasia Potapova 80¢ $10 36d
Celtics vs. 76ers BUY 76ers 97¢ $10 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 44d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 45d
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 98¢ $15 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -12.1% -20.4% 62% 62% -9.1%
≤30d 20 +12.0% +1.4% 70% 60% +13.8%
≤90d 155 -41.3% -46.9% 43% 30% -50.7%
all 213 -13.6% -21.8% 53% 40% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 40% -21.9%
10% -29.3% 29% -29.4%
15% -36.2% 23% -36.2%
20% -42.4% 17% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.60 · official $6.60 (match) · 667 history records