Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdabd…6ada
crypto · 694 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,531 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,332 · open −$232
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,954
Realized−$11,332
Unrealized−$232
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses254 / 613
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$823
Open positions12
Markets (closed)867 / 694
History coverage17d
Avg bet$190
Trades / day186.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 12 History 867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,733
7 days−$16,688
14 days−$9,441
30 days−$11,332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 67¢ 86¢ $3,065 $3,892 +$827 (+27%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 50¢ 34¢ $2,872 $1,982 −$890 (-31%)
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 57¢ 51¢ $1,344 $1,197 −$146 (-11%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 65¢ 63¢ $1,089 $1,058 −$31 (-3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 69¢ 50¢ $1,150 $826 −$324 (-28%)
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 96¢ 89¢ $304 $282 −$22 (-7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 27¢ 44¢ $112 $180 +$67 (+60%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 84¢ 86¢ $121 $125 +$4 (+3%)
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 76¢ 74¢ $107 $105 −$2 (-2%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes 38¢ 52¢ $60 $82 +$22 (+37%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 50¢ $43 $77 +$34 (+80%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 56¢ $39 $56 +$17 (+45%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 66¢ 93¢ $35 $49 +$14 (+40%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 17¢ 14¢ $33 $27 −$7 (-20%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 19¢ 14¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-24%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 11¢ 7¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-34%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 51¢ 66¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+28%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 24¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $646 $0 −$646 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Tesla dip to $353 in March? No 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $646 −$647 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -106%
Will Tesla dip to $353 in March? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -101%
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 13 $0 $0 -64%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of March? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -101%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -252%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$5 -260%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$33 -126%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Gro Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -600%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -840%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -337%
Valorant: 555 vs Xiao Long Bao (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group A Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regula Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -122%
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Ivory (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$36 -110%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -156%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of March? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -102%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Valorant: Bushido Wildcats vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19? Jun 13 $4 −$18 -525%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$4 -523%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$36 -124%
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch Jun 13 $411 −$407 -99%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -112%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -500%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$59 -109%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 37% +$4,829
sports 36% +$3,952
crypto 23% −$4,928
tech 3% +$923
world 0% −$427
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Morocco 88¢ $5 22m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 10¢ $1 42m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 10¢ $4 42m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $83 46m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $118 46m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 10¢ $1 46m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $32 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $5 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $5 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $43 48m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $93 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $43 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $43 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $43 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $43 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $43 48m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 21¢ $3 51m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL No 69¢ $14 52m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $44 52m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 21¢ $2 52m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 67¢ $62 55m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $22 56m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 77¢ $194 58m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 58m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 59m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 59m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 59m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 59m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 59m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 78¢ $194 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 677 -30.0% -36.7% 25% 16% -26.2%
≤30d 867 -21.5% -29.0% 29% 22% -16.6%
≤90d 867 -21.5% -29.0% 29% 22% -16.6%
all 867 -21.5% -29.0% 29% 22% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.0% 22% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 17% -24.6%
15% -42.0% 14% -31.9%
20% -47.7% 13% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,954.28 · official $9,911.11 (match) · 3500 history records