Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T19:25:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xdab7…4baf crypto 175 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (360 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$107 (+1%) realized +$286 · open −$179
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%171W / 1L
Drawdown29%max
Avg bet$118per market
Trades / day360.0pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$385now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$8
other 8% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (360 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 172 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 172 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.8%
all 172 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover360.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 0% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -17.5%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.0% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$45 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.5 per $1 lost it wins $4.5
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$385
Realized+$286
Unrealized−$179
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses171 / 1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)172 / 175
History coverage1d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day360.0
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 172 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 99¢ 68¢ $484 $335 −$149 (-31%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 99¢ 60¢ $76 $47 −$30 (-39%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 99¢ 88¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $207 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $456 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $275 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $57 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $202 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $199 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $74 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $220 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $68 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $539 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $612 +$6 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $145 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $110 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $83 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $272 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $68 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $280 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $61 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $411 +$4 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $101 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $348 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $337 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $124 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $220 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $203 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $53 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $96 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $205 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $256 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $212 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $91 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $239 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $53 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $238 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $29 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $269 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $414 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $55 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $107 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $205 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $140 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $76 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $484 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $207 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $456 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $176 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $57 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $199 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $202 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $220 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $539 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $110 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $612 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $145 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $385.01 · official $385.01 (match) · 544 history records