Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:26:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdaa9…1379
crypto · 397 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$66 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses306 / 88
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)394 / 397
History coverage138d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$14
14 days−$19
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 74¢ 76¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 83¢ 94¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+14%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 37¢ 26¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-30%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Spurs 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Knicks 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $10 +$4 +40%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $6 +$1 +19%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 +$3 +55%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$3 +61%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $9 −$9 -99%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $5 −$1 -15%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $5 +$2 +47%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $10 +$9 +92%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 06 $5 +$1 +13%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 06 $5 +$3 +50%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 05 $5 +$3 +60%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $5 +$2 +44%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 04 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Jun 02 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $12 $0 +2%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-28? Jun 01 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET May 31 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET May 31 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) May 30 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET May 29 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET May 29 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET May 29 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET May 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET May 28 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET May 28 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET May 27 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET May 27 $16 $0 +1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET May 26 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET May 25 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET May 23 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET May 22 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET May 21 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET May 20 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET May 20 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET May 19 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET May 19 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET May 18 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET May 18 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET May 17 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET May 16 $14 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$47
politics 17% −$2
other 14% −$1
sports 9% −$12
world 7% −$5
economics 1% −$1
finance 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 74¢ $10 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 2h
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Knicks 69¢ $5 2d
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) BUY Spurs 56¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 84¢ $5 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 51¢ $9 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 71¢ $10 3d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 84¢ $6 3d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 64¢ $5 3d
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 58¢ $5 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 57¢ $9 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 62¢ $5 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 46¢ $4 5d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 54¢ $5 5d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 68¢ $5 5d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 36¢ $5 5d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 52¢ $0 6d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 52¢ $9 6d
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Knicks 91¢ $6 7d
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Knicks 88¢ $5 7d
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) BUY Knicks 66¢ $5 7d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ $5 8d
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Knicks 69¢ $5 9d
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 80¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 12d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 83¢ $9 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -18.4% -26.2% 50% 50% -23.6%
≤30d 61 -3.9% -13.1% 85% 20% -11.6%
≤90d 244 -1.4% -10.8% 85% 6% -10.4%
all 394 -2.5% -11.8% 78% 4% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 4% -10.6%
10% -20.2% 3% -19.1%
15% -27.9% 3% -26.9%
20% -35.0% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.16 · official $24.16 (match) · 1716 history records