Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdaa4…71df
sports · 50 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses13 / 32
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions5
Markets (closed)45 / 50
History coverage100d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 5 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 23¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner EYEBALLERS 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$11 +137%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$20 +549%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $12 −$12 -97%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? Apr 09 $15 −$4 -25%
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? Apr 09 $5 −$2 -42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series # Apr 09 $10 −$4 -40%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner Apr 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Brute (BO3) - United21 Playoff Apr 09 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $25 +$8 +30%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs Apr 08 $15 +$7 +49%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs Apr 08 $10 +$4 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 08 $3 $0 -12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner Apr 08 $8 +$64 +804%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta Apr 08 $11 +$9 +84%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 08 $3 $0 -12%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? Apr 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Apr 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 08 $13 +$23 +174%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will MrBeast hit 477 Million subscribers by March 31? Apr 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Apr 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video? Apr 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" during his next YouTube video? Apr 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 08 $2 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Apr 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 09 $5 +$4 +89%
Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouT Mar 07 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 07 $2 +$10 +400%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Mar 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Mar 06 $12 −$8 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$64
other 29% −$36
world 7% −$3
finance 5% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $12 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 12h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 12h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 13h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 17h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 17h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $4 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 17h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 17h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $6 17h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 17h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 100¢ $24 17h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $4 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $2 23h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 23h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $8 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 40h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 16¢ $5 42h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 10¢ $5 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +8.3% -2.0% 27% 27% -25.9%
≤30d 14 -14.9% -23.0% 21% 21% -47.7%
≤90d 40 -10.9% -19.4% 25% 25% -8.6%
all 45 -1.5% -10.9% 29% 29% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 29% -7.1%
10% -19.4% 29% -16.0%
15% -27.2% 24% -24.1%
20% -34.3% 18% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.82 · official $34.82 (match) · 118 history records