Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:31:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xda98…3b32 crypto 271 markets active 1h ago coverage 64d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$66 (-3%) realized −$66 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate60%163W / 108L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day10.2pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$51
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 50% −$16
sports 43% −$103
other 7% +$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +29.7% +17.3% 100% 67% +18.7%
≤30d 3 +29.7% +17.3% 100% 67% +18.7%
≤90d 271 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 49% -12.3%
all 271 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 49% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 49% -12.3%
10% -22.1% 31% -20.7%
15% -29.7% 20% -28.3%
20% -36.6% 11% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses163 / 108
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)271 / 271
History coverage64d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 271 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $71 +$23 +32%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $50 +$24 +48%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $41 +$4 +10%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 23 $100 −$99 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 23 $5 +$1 +12%
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Apr 22 $30 +$4 +12%
LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner Apr 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Apr 22 $5 +$3 +68%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner Apr 22 $10 −$3 -34%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qua Apr 22 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Grou Apr 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winner Apr 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 22 $5 −$3 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 22 $591 +$13 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Apr 22 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Apr 22 $5 −$5 -90%
Valorant: QoR vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $5 −$1 -11%
Valorant: AKA HERO vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Gro Apr 21 $5 $0 +9%
Valorant: NRG Academy vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Apr 21 $5 +$4 +79%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Chin Apr 20 $12 +$4 +36%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 20 $7 +$1 +19%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Apr 20 $5 +$7 +145%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 20 $5 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - European Pro L Apr 20 $10 $0 +1%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Apr 20 $10 $0 -2%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Apr 20 $5 −$4 -70%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner Apr 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evoluti Apr 19 $1 +$1 +122%
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 19 $5 $0 +5%
Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 19 $4 −$4 -98%
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches Apr 19 $20 +$4 +21%
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Apr 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winner Apr 19 $5 +$7 +149%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 2 Winner Apr 19 $10 +$5 +50%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 1 Winner Apr 19 $10 +$7 +68%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches Apr 18 $5 +$1 +21%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Apr 18 $10 +$8 +76%
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 18 $10 +$8 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 18 $1 +$1 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 17 $1 −$1 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Apr 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Apr 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 17 $1 +$1 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 78¢ $94 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 58¢ $71 5h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $75 25h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $50 46h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 28¢ $45 46h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 25¢ $41 47h
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 51¢ $100 55d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL HANJIN BRION 23¢ $6 55d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY HANJIN BRION 20¢ $5 55d
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage SELL Division One 62¢ $34 56d
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage BUY Division One 54¢ $30 56d
LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner BUY Supernova 20¢ $5 56d
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $8 56d
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha BUY Team Liquid 59¢ $5 56d
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 5¢ $2 56d
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $5 56d
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 10¢ $5 56d
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 10¢ $5 56d
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qua BUY Cloud9 55¢ $10 56d
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Grou BUY L1ga Team 49¢ $5 56d
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Pcific Esports 45¢ $5 56d
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Eternal Fire 48¢ $5 56d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage SELL Xtreme Gaming 30¢ $2 56d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage BUY Xtreme Gaming 62¢ $5 56d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $603 56d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $586 56d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Nongshim Red Force 5¢ $1 56d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Nongshim Red Force 27¢ $5 56d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Red Force 28¢ $5 56d
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner SELL Team WE 2¢ $0 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 700 history records