Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:58:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xda8e…f364 crypto 28 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+0%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate71%20W / 8L
Drawdown69%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day55.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% +$8
other 8% +$18
sports 1% −$2
world 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -5.8% -14.8% 71% 36% -7.6%
≤30d 28 -5.8% -14.8% 71% 36% -7.6%
≤90d 28 -5.8% -14.8% 71% 36% -7.6%
all 28 -5.8% -14.8% 71% 36% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 36% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 18% -16.4%
15% -30.4% 11% -24.5%
20% -37.2% 4% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$9 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses20 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 28 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $92 −$26 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +48%
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout Jun 17 $7 $0 -4%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $51 +$9 +18%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -81%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $12 +$7 +59%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $7 +$3 +48%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $31 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $31 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $34 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $31 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $55 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $31 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $52 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $31 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 73 history records