Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:43:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda8c…c659
sports · 284 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$238 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$238 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$238
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses136 / 148
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)284 / 284
History coverage59d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$0
14 days−$187
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Nemiga $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner Evil Geniuses 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season DetonatioN FocusMe $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner BoostGate Esports $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Team Nemesis $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner NRG $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Vitality.Bee $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Shopify Rebellion $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Gentle Mates 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL Playoffs Esprit Shōnen $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4? No 99¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Team Nemesis $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Atreides $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs m1x - Map 2 Winner Benched gods $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 Winner Estral Esports $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner ex-RUBY $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs Procyon Gaming $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner ex-Zero Tenacity $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner Gen.G Global Academy $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs Rex Regum Qeon $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $266 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $179 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $179 $0 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $179 $0 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $305 +$7 +2%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $170 $0 +0%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $49 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $170 $0 +0%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $126 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $119 $0 +0%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $51 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $170 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $170 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $81 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $165 $0 +0%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $99 −$1 -1%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $93 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $160 $0 +0%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $98 −$16 -17%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $188 +$4 +2%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $180 $0 +0%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $170 $0 +0%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $170 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 4? Jun 04 $77 −$28 -37%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4? Jun 04 $199 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4? Jun 04 $95 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4? Jun 04 $337 −$169 -50%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 03 $368 +$1 +0%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $318 +$1 +0%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $52 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 4? Jun 03 $138 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 4? Jun 03 $225 +$1 +0%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 02 $297 −$3 -1%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $297 −$3 -1%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $360 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3? Jun 02 $353 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2? Jun 02 $359 +$1 +0%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $357 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1? Jun 01 $349 +$1 +0%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $350 $0 +0%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 May 31 $2 $0 -0%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 5.5 May 31 $18 $0 -0%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5 May 31 $122 $0 +0%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5 May 31 $212 $0 -0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw? May 31 $49 $0 +0%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 1.5 May 31 $49 $0 +1%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $300 $0 +0%
Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 5.5 May 30 $33 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner May 30 $300 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$48
weather 18% −$190
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $145 51m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $146 52m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $8 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $112 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $32 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $77 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 100¢ $179 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 100¢ $102 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 100¢ $9 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 100¢ $33 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 100¢ $34 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $179 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $179 26h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 89¢ $133 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $6 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $8 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $11 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $101 28h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 100¢ $64 42h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 100¢ $100 42h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 100¢ $6 42h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 94¢ $35 42h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 95¢ $14 42h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 94¢ $9 42h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 93¢ $16 42h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 92¢ $21 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-41.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -5.4% -14.4% 90% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 70 -6.2% -15.1% 87% 0% -11.3%
≤90d 284 -35.3% -41.4% 48% 6% -11.6%
all 284 -35.3% -41.4% 48% 6% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.4% 6% -11.6%
10% -47.0% 4% -20.1%
15% -52.2% 3% -27.8%
20% -56.8% 2% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 850 history records