Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xda89…d749 sports 219 markets active 6d ago coverage 85d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$34 (-2%) realized −$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate56%122W / 97L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day4.0pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$9
14 days−$3
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -40.4% -46.0% 40% 40% -42.4%
≤30d 20 -0.8% -10.2% 55% 55% -11.6%
≤90d 219 -2.4% -11.7% 56% 54% -12.1%
all 219 -2.4% -11.7% 56% 54% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 54% -12.1%
10% -20.1% 51% -20.5%
15% -27.9% 44% -28.2%
20% -34.9% 29% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses122 / 97
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)219 / 219
History coverage85d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 219 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $6 +$3 +55%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $8 +$12 +152%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $7 +$6 +86%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $8 +$3 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $6 +$4 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $9 +$6 +67%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 29 $16 +$5 +32%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 29 $6 +$4 +62%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $11 −$9 -84%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 28 $8 +$12 +158%
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva May 28 $10 +$10 +101%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton May 28 $7 −$7 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva May 12 $6 +$6 +101%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev May 12 $10 −$9 -89%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce May 12 $9 −$8 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili May 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko May 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud May 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic May 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante May 11 $6 +$3 +55%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova May 11 $10 +$5 +48%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic May 11 $5 +$6 +124%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev May 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili May 11 $6 +$10 +158%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar May 11 $21 +$6 +29%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik May 10 $9 −$8 -87%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic May 10 $15 +$5 +36%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Iva Jovic May 09 $12 +$9 +76%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca May 09 $10 −$8 -76%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya May 09 $15 −$15 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agu May 09 $10 +$5 +52%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone May 09 $6 +$3 +46%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse May 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landaluce May 09 $8 +$4 +50%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertens May 09 $6 −$4 -59%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane May 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norrie May 09 $18 +$1 +5%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko May 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic May 09 $8 +$4 +54%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderi May 09 $11 +$6 +60%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandez May 08 $13 −$13 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristian May 08 $10 −$8 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 31¢ $3 5d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 57¢ $6 5d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Yannick Hanfmann 55¢ $6 6d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 64¢ $6 6d
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 69¢ $5 6d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Maja Chwalinska 19¢ $6 10d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Maja Chwalinska 39¢ $8 12d
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 53¢ $7 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini BUY Matteo Berrettini 70¢ $8 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 58¢ $6 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce BUY Martin Landaluce 49¢ $5 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo BUY Moise Kouame 22¢ $20 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda BUY Zachary Svajda 59¢ $9 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien BUY Learner Tien 41¢ $10 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik BUY Jakub Mensik 61¢ $6 18d
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong SELL Karen Khachanov 8¢ $2 18d
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong BUY Karen Khachanov 49¢ $11 18d
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul BUY Casper Ruud 75¢ $16 18d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas BUY Matteo Arnaldi 38¢ $8 19d
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton BUY Ben Shelton 65¢ $7 19d
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva BUY Martin Landaluce 49¢ $10 20d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva SELL Coco Gauff 100¢ $12 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante 7¢ $1 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante 61¢ $10 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Coco Gauff 49¢ $6 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce BUY Hamad Medjedovic 63¢ $9 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 66¢ $8 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko BUY Sorana Cirstea 58¢ $10 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic SELL Dino Prizmic 4¢ $1 35d
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud BUY Casper Ruud 63¢ $10 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 451 history records