Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T08:59:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
DA 0xda7e…c292 crypto 12 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate83%10W / 2L
Drawdown13%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day22.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +10.5% +0.0% 83% 75% +4.4%
≤30d 12 +10.5% +0.0% 83% 75% +4.4%
≤90d 12 +10.5% +0.0% 83% 75% +4.4%
all 12 +10.5% +0.0% 83% 75% +4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.0% 75% +4.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.6% 33% -5.6%
15% -18.3% 17% -14.7%
20% -26.3% 8% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 54% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +15% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +19% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$7 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×6.04 per $1 lost it wins $6.04
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses10 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $102 +$25 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $51 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $56 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $51 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $51 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $58 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $51 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $58 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 31 history records