Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda78…393a
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$20 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open −$53
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$74
Unrealized−$53
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day11.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$386
7 days+$74
14 days+$74
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 11¢ $19 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 28¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) South Africa 14¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Czechia 13¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $51 +$54 +107%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 +$219 +1421%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $50 +$29 +59%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $200 +$83 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $138 −$2 -2%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $304 −$299 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$74
other 9% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $25 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $105 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $11 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $22 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $9 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $51 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 94¢ $235 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes $5 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes $10 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 97¢ $42 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 93¢ $36 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 59¢ $50 8h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $184 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $98 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 51¢ $99 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 SELL Under 89¢ $136 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $138 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $101 2d
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY Czechia 13¢ $10 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa $50 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa $31 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 60¢ $123 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 60¢ $100 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+174.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +203.8% +174.9% 57% 57% -0.7%
≤30d 7 +203.8% +174.9% 57% 57% -0.7%
≤90d 7 +203.8% +174.9% 57% 57% -0.7%
all 7 +203.8% +174.9% 57% 57% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +174.9% 57% -0.7%
10% +148.6% 57% -10.2%
15% +124.6% 57% -18.9%
20% +102.5% 43% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $0.15 (match) · 26 history records