trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 26 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 58% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 4% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 4% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 4% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $36 | $36 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $37 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | Jun 26 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Alb | May 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 10 | $16 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 27 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25? | Mar 25 | $3 | −$2 | -88% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? | Mar 24 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or below on March 21? | Mar 21 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Mar 21 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German ele | Mar 20 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois | Mar 04 | $4 | +$3 | +59% |