Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:21:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda77…683f
sports · 356 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,077 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$602 · open −$1,029
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,999
Realized−$602
Unrealized−$1,029
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses83 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$410
Open positions306
Markets (closed)159 / 356
History coverage1d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day3059.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 306 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$602
7 days−$602
14 days−$602
30 days−$602
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 81¢ 86¢ $443 $471 +$27 (+6%)
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) Max Holloway 69¢ 69¢ $384 $384 +$0 (+0%)
Florian Wirtz: 2+ assists No 83¢ 80¢ $355 $341 −$14 (-4%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 26¢ $321 $291 −$29 (-9%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 73¢ 79¢ $205 $224 +$18 (+9%)
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 48¢ $197 $208 +$11 (+5%)
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5 Under 37¢ 34¢ $189 $176 −$13 (-7%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) New York Yankees 84¢ 92¢ $145 $159 +$14 (+10%)
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5 Under 7¢ 28¢ $33 $141 +$108 (+326%)
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5) Pittsburgh Pirates 68¢ 75¢ $127 $140 +$14 (+11%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 48¢ 50¢ $132 $139 +$6 (+5%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Under 41¢ 54¢ $94 $122 +$28 (+30%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Over 71¢ 77¢ $108 $118 +$10 (+9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Suzan Lamens 32¢ 70¢ $53 $116 +$64 (+120%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Walczaki 69¢ 68¢ $114 $114 −$0 (-0%)
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Nick Kyrgios Ben Shelton 60¢ 63¢ $106 $111 +$4 (+4%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 40¢ $105 $108 +$2 (+2%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 Under 68¢ 84¢ $85 $106 +$21 (+25%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Under 63¢ 70¢ $88 $99 +$10 (+12%)
ITF Los Angeles: Kaylan Bigun vs Andrew Johnson Kaylan Bigun 84¢ 84¢ $99 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Aleksandar Pavlovic: 1+ assists No 74¢ 82¢ $87 $97 +$11 (+12%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Washington Nationals 33¢ 88¢ $36 $97 +$61 (+168%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Under 74¢ 84¢ $85 $97 +$12 (+14%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 55¢ 100¢ $50 $91 +$41 (+82%)
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti Katarzyna Kawa 71¢ 94¢ $66 $87 +$21 (+31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma Jun 14 $117 +$56 +48%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $333 +$102 +31%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 14 $461 +$44 +10%
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $278 +$184 +66%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao? Jun 14 $202 +$8 +4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $477 +$68 +14%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $406 +$17 +4%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $0 +$2 +614%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1,794 −$176 -10%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Jun 14 $1,552 +$306 +20%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $588 +$196 +33%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $119 +$26 +22%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $309 +$83 +27%
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals Jun 14 $109 −$89 -82%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $1,021 +$93 +9%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $211 −$113 -54%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $65 −$54 -83%
Will CD Concepción vs. CD Limache end in a draw? Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $389 +$34 +9%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $268 −$195 -73%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $615 +$193 +31%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 14 $1,141 −$1,119 -98%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $635 −$293 -46%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $1,281 −$909 -71%
Felix Nmecha: 2+ goals Jun 14 $238 +$232 +97%
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals Jun 14 $118 +$90 +77%
Nico Schlotterbeck: 2+ goals Jun 14 $31 +$6 +19%
Jonathan Tah: 1+ goals Jun 14 $31 +$6 +19%
Florian Wirtz: 2+ goals Jun 14 $9 +$7 +69%
Aleksandar Pavlovic: 1+ goals Jun 14 $106 +$27 +25%
Jamal Musiala: 2+ goals Jun 14 $40 +$15 +37%
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals Jun 14 $31 +$15 +48%
Leroy Sané: 2+ goals Jun 14 $7 +$2 +30%
Kai Havertz: 3+ goals Jun 14 $6 +$1 +16%
Aleksandar Pavlovic: 2+ goals Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $403 +$20 +5%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $671 +$114 +17%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $633 +$132 +21%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $1,460 +$25 +2%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $110 −$13 -12%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $16 −$10 -64%
Nico Schlotterbeck: 1+ goals Jun 14 $373 −$367 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $114 −$14 -12%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $270 −$85 -32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $165 −$25 -15%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals v Jun 14 $29 −$2 -6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $67 −$35 -53%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $86 −$29 -34%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Jun 14 $185 −$53 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$2,476
other 25% +$845
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 61¢ $3 0m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 60¢ $6 0m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 0m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 8¢ $3 0m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 85¢ $6 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $1 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 17¢ $0 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 17¢ $1 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $0 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $0 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $0 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $0 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 82¢ $1 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 54¢ $11 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 35¢ $3 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 44¢ $18 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 60¢ $8 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 69¢ $9 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 69¢ $19 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 44¢ $18 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $4 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 36¢ $2 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 34¢ $7 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 63¢ $25 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 64¢ $26 1m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 22¢ $4 1m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 89¢ $36 1m
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 7¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 +3.5% -6.4% 52% 38% -11.8%
≤30d 159 +3.5% -6.4% 52% 38% -11.8%
≤90d 159 +3.5% -6.4% 52% 38% -11.8%
all 159 +3.5% -6.4% 52% 38% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3059.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.4% 38% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 27% -20.2%
15% -23.5% 20% -27.9%
20% -31.0% 13% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,998.89 · official $8,979.52 (match) · 3500 history records