Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:31:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda67…0b91
sports · 834 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$181 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$91 · open −$268
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$899
Realized+$91
Unrealized−$268
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses558 / 234
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$165
Open positions42
Markets (closed)792 / 834
History coverage182d
Avg bet$171
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 42 History 792 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$223
7 days+$273
14 days+$46
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 18¢ 77¢ $23 $102 +$79 (+339%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $50 $50 +$1 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 52¢ 54¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+2%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $47 $45 −$2 (-4%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Under 53¢ 100¢ $20 $37 +$17 (+86%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $10 $34 +$25 (+257%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 38¢ $33 $34 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 61¢ 100¢ $19 $31 +$12 (+63%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 100¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+30%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 36¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+43%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 78¢ 100¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+28%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $14 $25 +$11 (+78%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 74¢ 87¢ $19 $23 +$3 (+18%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-3%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Under 60¢ 100¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+66%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 93¢ 100¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ 58¢ $10 $15 +$6 (+58%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ 42¢ $10 $15 +$6 (+60%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-3%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 26¢ 26¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 50¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+45%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 48¢ 46¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $44 −$7 -17%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $33 −$6 -18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$30 +307%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$3 +24%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $34 −$22 -65%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$18 +124%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $24 −$13 -53%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $15 +$16 +109%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $14 +$22 +152%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $38 −$10 -25%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$14 +69%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $29 −$8 -29%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $78 +$30 +38%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $52 +$25 +49%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $50 +$71 +142%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $84 −$9 -11%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $43 −$21 -50%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $24 +$13 +54%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $48 −$22 -45%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$46 +46%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $2 +$3 +113%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $14 +$8 +58%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $21 +$19 +94%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $48 −$15 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% +$55
sports 7% −$238
crypto 5% +$5
tech 4% −$1
weather 2% +$8
politics 1% +$2
culture 1% +$1
finance 0% −$8
world 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 35¢ $10 1m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $10 1m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ $10 16m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $10 16m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 43¢ $10 16m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $10 16m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $10 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $3 22m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $35 23m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 98¢ $129 27m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $10 31m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 41m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 46m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $10 46m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 5¢ $10 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 56m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 42¢ $10 56m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 48¢ $10 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 62¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 55¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $9 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 51¢ $10 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 4¢ $9 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 70¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 299 +1.1% -8.5% 46% 41% -6.4%
≤30d 353 -1.8% -11.1% 49% 36% -9.1%
≤90d 496 -0.4% -9.9% 63% 26% -9.3%
all 792 -0.1% -9.6% 70% 17% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 17% -9.5%
10% -18.3% 14% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 11% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 9% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $898.69 · official $889.02 · 2810 history records