Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda64…b94c
crypto · 771 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$534 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$499 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$137
Realized−$499
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses320 / 442
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions9
Markets (closed)762 / 771
History coverage47d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day63.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 9 History 762 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$101
14 days−$154
30 days−$693
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes 24¢ 21¢ $65 $57 −$8 (-12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 40¢ 24¢ $36 $22 −$14 (-39%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-0%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 33¢ 11¢ $7 $2 −$4 (-66%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $6 $2 −$5 (-77%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 54¢ 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$36 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 10 $5 $0 -8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 10 $8 −$1 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$2 -33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $1 $0 -9%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Jun 10 $1 $0 -31%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -34%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 10 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? Jun 10 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? Jun 10 $42 +$7 +17%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 +$30 +568%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$482
finance 8% +$296
other 7% −$153
sports 6% −$135
world 5% +$43
politics 3% −$212
economics 3% +$397
tech 2% −$288
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 8h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 3¢ $7 22h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 22¢ $18 22h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $18 22h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $17 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -32.0% -38.5% 23% 21% -36.1%
≤30d 240 -32.8% -39.2% 28% 20% -23.2%
≤90d 762 -14.5% -22.6% 42% 32% -11.9%
all 762 -14.5% -22.6% 42% 32% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 32% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 23% -20.3%
15% -36.8% 17% -28.0%
20% -43.0% 13% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $137.41 · official $137.41 (match) · 3500 history records