Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:57:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda61…9bcf
crypto · 726 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$56 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses698 / 28
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)726 / 726
History coverage232d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 726 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 6PM ET Apr 21 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on April 20? Apr 21 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on April 20? Apr 21 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on April 20? Apr 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 20? Apr 21 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3PM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin above 74,000 on April 20, 10AM ET? Apr 20 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 3AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10PM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Apr 20 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$35
sports 11% +$7
tech 3% −$6
other 2% −$18
finance 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 39h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 11? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤30d 32 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤90d 497 -2.3% -11.6% 96% 0% -11.4%
all 726 -1.4% -10.8% 96% 2% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 2% -10.3%
10% -19.3% 0% -18.9%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1466 history records