Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:06:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda5b…55e5
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -88%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$58
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$58
14 days−$58
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 18¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $45 −$44 -98%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% −$44
sports 45% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $20 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 44¢ $45 1h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY No 17¢ $10 2h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY No 22¢ $1 2h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY No 25¢ $3 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.15 · official $10.15 (match) · 7 history records