Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:56:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda39…b4aa
crypto · 918 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$357 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$353 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$353
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses375 / 526
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions15
Markets (closed)901 / 918
History coverage70d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 15 History 901 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$146
14 days−$113
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? Yes 24¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 16¢ 12¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-22%)
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-17%)
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches? Yes 14¢ 22¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Will there be 15+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will there be 10+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 3¢ 13¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+370%)
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? Yes 22¢ 21¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-42%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $6 −$3 -48%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +92%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $61 −$61 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Canva IPO before 2027? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$2 +36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $23 +$6 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $6 +$3 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $62 +$25 +40%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$4 +85%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 10 $15 −$1 -8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Jun 10 $14 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +11%
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June? Jun 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $9 −$6 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $15 −$15 -99%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$2 -51%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Jun 09 $6 −$2 -41%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 $0 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$10 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$5 +490%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 8? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$68
world 14% −$145
other 6% −$69
weather 6% +$3
sports 5% −$68
politics 4% −$8
tech 0% −$4
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 30¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? SELL Yes 33¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 13? SELL Yes 36¢ $4 1h
Will there be 15+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World BUY No 4¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 68¢ $8 1h
Will there be 10+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World BUY No 3¢ $0 1h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 12¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in BUY 4¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? SELL Yes 65¢ $0 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $1 4h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 40¢ $1 4h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 47¢ $1 4h
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 9h
Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $4 10h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 10h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 10h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 10h
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 14h
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $2 15h
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 2d
Canva IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 10¢ $8 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 34¢ $16 3d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 10? SELL Yes 73¢ $8 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -18.3% -26.1% 30% 27% -24.8%
≤30d 398 -9.3% -17.9% 31% 27% -12.9%
≤90d 901 -9.4% -18.0% 42% 35% -15.0%
all 901 -9.4% -18.0% 42% 35% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 35% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 20% -23.1%
15% -33.0% 13% -30.5%
20% -39.6% 11% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.53 · official $23.55 · 3500 history records