Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda33…cd9a
sports · 658 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$562 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$683 · open −$120
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$439
Realized+$683
Unrealized−$120
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses484 / 154
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$107
Open positions18
Markets (closed)638 / 658
History coverage180d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 18 History 638 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$314
7 days+$585
14 days+$648
30 days+$643
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 6¢ 36¢ $17 $97 +$79 (+457%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 79¢ 74¢ $49 $46 −$3 (-5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 57¢ 52¢ $49 $45 −$5 (-9%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 68¢ 55¢ $49 $39 −$10 (-20%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 78¢ 78¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 73¢ 78¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner OLDBOYS- 92¢ 100¢ $29 $32 +$3 (+9%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-6%)
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) OLDBOYS PL 50¢ 50¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+0%)
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? Yes 52¢ 48¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-8%)
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Donstu Esports 49¢ 30¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-39%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 62¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+61%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 85¢ 87¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 61¢ 44¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-29%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner Donstu Esports 19¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 81¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 89¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $72 −$9 -12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $52 +$19 +38%
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $52 +$32 +61%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$50 +237%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $34 +$39 +112%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $67 +$3 +5%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $110 −$77 -70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $100 −$10 -10%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $98 +$130 +132%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$25 +88%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$17 +86%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$26 +64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$41 +82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 $0 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$23 +158%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $20 +$13 +67%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $16 +$11 +67%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $29 +$8 +28%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $48 +$11 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $91 −$91 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $38 +$38 +101%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $27 +$30 +112%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $86 −$86 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$26 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) Jun 11 $50 +$59 +119%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 +$10 +53%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $64 +$82 +128%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$17 +34%
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% +$44
tech 6% +$6
sports 5% +$549
weather 4% +$26
crypto 4% +$2
culture 4% −$31
politics 0% −$15
world 0% −$19
finance 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 8m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 8m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 8m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 8m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 8¢ $5 32m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 8¢ $5 32m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 5¢ $4 33m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $5 33m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 50¢ $5 39m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 49¢ $5 40m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 49¢ $5 40m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY OLDBOYS- 95¢ $6 47m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY OLDBOYS- 91¢ $23 47m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 14¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 14¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 14¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 15¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 35¢ $7 1h
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) BUY OLDBOYS PL 50¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 89¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 89¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 89¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 89¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $60 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 62¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 49¢ $45 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 +4.7% -5.3% 49% 43% -0.8%
≤30d 237 +1.4% -8.2% 53% 38% -3.1%
≤90d 358 +2.3% -7.5% 69% 27% -7.0%
all 638 +1.7% -8.0% 76% 16% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 16% -9.1%
10% -16.8% 13% -17.8%
15% -24.8% 11% -25.7%
20% -32.2% 10% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $438.74 · official $436.56 (match) · 2152 history records