trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 23 | +3.5% | -6.4% | 96% | 17% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.4% | 17% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -15.3% | 13% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -23.5% | 9% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 4% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $192 | $192 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May? | Jun 01 | $138 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 01 | $154 | $0 | +0% |
| Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026 | May 09 | $292 | +$1 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $291 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 10? | Apr 11 | $291 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Apr 01 | $291 | $0 | +0% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 20 | $30 | +$25 | +82% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Mar 20 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Mar 20 | $50 | +$12 | +24% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Mar 20 | $50 | +$25 | +49% |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | Mar 11 | $1,292 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 2 above $7.50? | Mar 07 | $1,291 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $130? | Feb 28 | $1,289 | +$2 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Feb 21 | $1,280 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will "Alone" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10) | Feb 13 | $1,279 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of January? | Jan 31 | $1,278 | +$1 | +0% |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Jan 18 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Jan 10 | $1,301 | +$3 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $48 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $523 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $410 | $0 | +0% |