Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda27…ae5a
crypto · 748 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$82
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses481 / 260
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)741 / 748
History coverage116d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$108
7 days+$105
14 days+$105
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 89¢ 90¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? No 77¢ 86¢ $19 $22 +$2 (+13%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 10AM ET? No 85¢ 96¢ $13 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 78¢ 66¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-14%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 85¢ 94¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 86¢ 76¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 77¢ 69¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 10AM ET? No 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 2PM ET? No 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$97
weather 10% −$118
world 1% +$8
sports 1% −$6
politics 0% +$5
other 0% −$2
tech 0% −$3
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 10m
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 85¢ $4 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 544 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 65% -6.8%
≤30d 544 +2.4% -7.3% 80% 65% -6.8%
≤90d 705 -4.7% -13.8% 66% 53% -10.4%
all 741 -3.6% -12.8% 65% 52% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 52% -10.0%
10% -21.2% 28% -18.6%
15% -28.8% 9% -26.5%
20% -35.8% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $81.65 · official $81.56 (match) · 2597 history records