trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $301 | $0 | −$301 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | 10¢ | 0¢ | $34 | $0 | −$34 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 39¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Up | 14¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $0 | −$16 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Up | 59¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 12¢ | 0¢ | $36 | $0 | −$36 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Down | 16¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $0 | −$24 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$13 | +240% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $26 | −$15 | -57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $28 | +$15 | +55% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $307 | −$301 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Jan 29 | $18 | −$18 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Jan 29 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Jan 29 | $48 | −$23 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | Jan 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Jan 25 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Jan 25 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Jan 25 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Jan 24 | $70 | +$147 | +210% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Jan 24 | $40 | +$84 | +209% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Jan 15 | $85 | +$89 | +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Jan 15 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Jan 15 | $20 | +$38 | +190% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Jan 15 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Jan 15 | $41 | +$31 | +75% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Jan 15 | $33 | −$3 | -9% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +34.3% | +21.5% | 50% | 50% | -27.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +7.5% | -2.8% | 40% | 40% | -83.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +7.5% | -2.8% | 40% | 40% | -83.3% |
| all | 20 | +3.4% | -6.4% | 35% | 35% | -22.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.4% | 35% | -22.7% |
| 10% | -15.4% | 35% | -30.1% |
| 15% | -23.5% | 35% | -36.9% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 35% | -43.0% |