trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | -34.0% | -40.3% | 25% | 25% | -21.5% |
| all | 25 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 36% | 4% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 4% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 4% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 4% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 4% | -34.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $34 | $34 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 14 | $44 | −$43 | -98% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Apr 12 | $42 | −$41 | -98% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 03 | $198 | $0 | +0% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Mar 22 | $61 | +$39 | +64% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Mar 02 | $110 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 08 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 03 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Feb 01 | $104 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 20 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 14 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 03 | $103 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 19 | $97 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 15 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 08 | $196 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 02 | $98 | +$1 | +1% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Nov 28 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 11 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 31 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 26 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 23 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 19 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 16 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | Oct 11 | $91 | $0 | -0% |