trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -12.1% | -20.4% | 60% | 60% | -47.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 53% | 53% | -47.8% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 53% | 53% | -47.8% |
| all | 17 | -13.6% | -21.8% | 53% | 53% | -47.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.8% | 53% | -47.8% |
| 10% | -29.3% | 29% | -52.8% |
| 15% | -36.1% | 24% | -57.3% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 18% | -61.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $102 | −$60 | -60% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $102 | −$43 | -42% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $153 | +$19 | +13% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $203 | +$137 | +68% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $304 | +$171 | +56% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$36 | +36% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $110 | +$16 | +14% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,009 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $608 | −$279 | -46% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | -5% |