Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:10:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda11…2a22
other · 57 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
−$22 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses16 / 40
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage549d
Avg bet$318
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 14 $18 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May? Jun 13 $35 $0 +0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $14 $0 -0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 27 $18 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? May 26 $13 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $121 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 22 $18 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 21 $97 $0 -0%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 20 $12 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $88 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 13 $87 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 11 $84 $0 -0%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $11 +$7 +60%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $85 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $77 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 06 $77 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $85 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $80 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $80 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 23 $85 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $85 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 22 $86 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $80 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $77 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $82 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $83 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec Apr 17 $78 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8? Apr 09 $7 $0 +0%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $7 +$4 +60%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $8 +$6 +83%
Oilers vs. Utah Apr 09 $10 +$9 +89%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Utah vs. Kraken Apr 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Blues vs. Sharks Apr 02 $26 −$26 -100%
Predators vs. Lightning Apr 02 $24 −$24 -100%
Celtics vs. Heat Apr 02 $24 +$13 +52%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Apr 02 $50 $0 +1%
Red Wings vs. Sabres Mar 29 $22 +$32 +144%
Golden Knights vs. Stars Mar 27 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26? Mar 27 $29 +$21 +72%
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? Mar 26 $25 $0 +1%
Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5) Mar 22 $15 +$14 +92%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 05 $95 $0 +0%
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? Feb 27 $96 −$1 -1%
Will Solana reach $210 in January? Feb 13 $95 $0 +0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 18 $13,520 −$14 -0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 18 $13 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 75% −$14
politics 13% −$6
other 7% +$24
sports 2% −$28
crypto 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
world 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $18 1h
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $18 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $39 9h
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 16d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 16d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $18 17d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $18 17d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $24 18d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $13 19d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $13 19d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $15 20d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 20d
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $35 21d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $18 22d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $18 22d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $15 23d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $15 23d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $11 24d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 24d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Croatia 11¢ $1 25d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Croatia 11¢ $0 25d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 25d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 25d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $88 26d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $88 26d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 SELL No 100¢ $87 31d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 100¢ $87 31d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $90 32d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $90 32d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $84 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.1% -9.5% 67% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 12 -8.4% -17.1% 17% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 45 -1.1% -10.6% 29% 18% -9.5%
all 56 -1.0% -10.5% 29% 14% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 14% -9.6%
10% -19.0% 14% -18.3%
15% -26.9% 14% -26.2%
20% -34.0% 14% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.14 · official $39.14 (match) · 211 history records