trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -57.4% | -61.5% | 0% | 0% | -67.1% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -57.4% | -61.5% | 0% | 0% | -67.1% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -57.4% | -61.5% | 0% | 0% | -67.1% |
| all | 18 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 39% | 39% | -41.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 39% | -41.8% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 39% | -47.4% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 39% | -52.4% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 28% | -57.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco leading at halftime? | No | 37¢ | 36¢ | $39 | $38 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | No | 59¢ | 60¢ | $12 | $12 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Under | 55¢ | 56¢ | $11 | $12 | +$0 (+1%) |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 19¢ | 18¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $26 | −$15 | -57% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $27 | −$13 | -48% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $161 | −$109 | -67% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | Feb 20 | $27 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will no new pope be elected in 2025? | May 04 | $11 | −$6 | -50% |
| Will Everton win on 2025-05-03? | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03? | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03? | May 04 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Will Southampton win on 2025-05-03? | May 04 | $20 | +$10 | +49% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | May 03 | $22 | +$44 | +203% |
| Stars vs. Avalanche | May 02 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Wild | May 02 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Oilers | May 02 | $5 | +$4 | +64% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | May 02 | $6 | +$6 | +108% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 01 | $38 | −$32 | -85% |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? | Feb 03 | $6 | +$3 | +43% |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? | Feb 03 | $10 | +$11 | +116% |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31? | Feb 03 | $26 | −$14 | -54% |