Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T23:31:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd9ea…8165 crypto 1629 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$713 (+4%) realized −$352 · open −$8
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate91%1479W / 148L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day108.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$183
14 days−$356
30 days−$352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$360
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -12.5% -20.8% 73% 43% -24.9%
≤30d 1627 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 19% -11.2%
≤90d 1627 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 19% -11.2%
all 1627 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 19% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 19% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 7% -19.7%
15% -27.2% 2% -27.5%
20% -34.3% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$352
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1479 / 148
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1627 / 1629
History coverage17d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day108.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1627 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $8.15 · 3500 history records