Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:12:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9e4…6385
crypto · 1677 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,018 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,018 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,018
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1541 / 377
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1918 / 1677
History coverage28d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day90.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1918 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,452
7 days−$1,482
14 days−$1,923
30 days−$2,018
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$663
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 715 -33.5% -39.8% 59% 28% -23.7%
≤30d 1918 -13.0% -21.3% 80% 22% -12.9%
≤90d 1918 -13.0% -21.3% 80% 22% -12.9%
all 1918 -13.0% -21.3% 80% 22% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 22% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 3% -21.2%
15% -35.7% 0% -28.9%
20% -42.0% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records