Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd9b5…2f2c crypto 449 markets active 6d ago coverage 15d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$19 (-1%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate37%166W / 283L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day117.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2
14 days−$64
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$107
weather 5% −$6
other 3% −$11
sports 1% −$2
finance 1% −$2
tech 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -1.3% -10.7% 28% 28% -12.5%
≤30d 449 -2.8% -12.0% 37% 29% -16.2%
≤90d 449 -2.8% -12.0% 37% 29% -16.2%
all 449 -2.8% -12.0% 37% 29% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover117.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 29% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 23% -24.2%
15% -28.1% 18% -31.5%
20% -35.2% 16% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses166 / 283
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)449 / 449
History coverage15d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day117.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 449 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $1 $0 -2%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -17%
Voloshchuk vs. Falei: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -49%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $1 $0 -11%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1 −$1 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +52%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$4 +360%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -59%
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 -43%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 -47%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -49%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 +$1 +58%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Marie Bouzkova 50¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth SELL Jiri Lehecka 100¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth SELL James Duckworth 37¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth BUY James Duckworth 56¢ $1 6d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang SELL Zhizhen Zhang 98¢ $2 6d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 52¢ $1 6d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 50¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth BUY Jiri Lehecka 72¢ $1 6d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang BUY Zhizhen Zhang 63¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 87¢ $1 6d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas SELL David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $1 6d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 51¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 86¢ $1 6d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas BUY David Jorda Sanchis 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6d
Voloshchuk vs. Falei: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 64¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1813 history records