Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9a6…eee1
sports · 51 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$20 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized+$50
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses25 / 13
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions13
Markets (closed)38 / 51
History coverage9d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 13 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$91
14 days+$50
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? Yes 55¢ 54¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 51¢ 50¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 77¢ 78¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+8%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 80¢ 57¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-29%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 73¢ 72¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 54¢ 34¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-38%)
Will Victor Wembanyama record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 77¢ 31¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-60%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 52¢ 19¢ $10 $4 −$7 (-64%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 56¢ 6¢ $11 $1 −$10 (-90%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Farés Ziam 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Ugo Humbert 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $30 +$2 +5%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $8 +$5 +64%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $20 +$2 +12%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $8 +$3 +39%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $6 +$7 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $10 +$4 +35%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $8 −$8 -99%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $7 +$2 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $8 +$5 +62%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $16 +$5 +33%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $15 +$4 +24%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $5 +$4 +78%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 09 $11 +$4 +35%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 +10%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $12 +$2 +19%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$10 +51%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $7 +$3 +47%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $20 +$18 +89%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $15 +$6 +38%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $72 +$14 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 06 $8 −$2 -28%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 05 $12 +$7 +56%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $44 −$21 -48%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $20 −$10 -49%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $59 +$16 +26%
Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$34
other 9% +$6
crypto 5% −$20
politics 5% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 46¢ $3 31m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 59¢ $7 55m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 82¢ $7 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 79¢ $19 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 59¢ $9 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 61¢ $20 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 73¢ $12 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 65¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 74¢ $8 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 74¢ $32 3h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Adrian Mannarino 100¢ $13 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 100¢ $15 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 52¢ $10 3h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 60¢ $8 8h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $14 19h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 56¢ $8 21h
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 55¢ $41 24h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 67¢ $10 24h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $20 24h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 100¢ $11 24h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Adrian Mannarino 100¢ $13 24h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 71¢ $8 32h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 47¢ $6 32h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 62¢ $6 32h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $20 32h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $18 33h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 61¢ $18 36h
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 94¢ $14 2d
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Ugo Humbert 66¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +57.7% +42.7% 85% 78% +17.6%
≤30d 38 +22.9% +11.2% 66% 61% +3.2%
≤90d 38 +22.9% +11.2% 66% 61% +3.2%
all 38 +22.9% +11.2% 66% 61% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.2% 61% +3.2%
10% +0.5% 55% -6.7%
15% -9.2% 34% -15.7%
20% -18.1% 21% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $183.68 · official $183.72 (match) · 154 history records