Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9a6…9497
crypto · 446 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,309 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,614 · open −$135
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$316
Realized−$1,614
Unrealized−$135
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses207 / 238
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)445 / 446
History coverage30d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day45.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 445 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days−$183
14 days−$796
30 days−$1,614
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $451 $316 −$135 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$23 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$17 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$32 +55%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $8 +$18 +226%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Brazil to win the second half? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$10 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$1,495
other 3% −$175
politics 1% −$17
sports 1% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $28 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -1.8% -11.2% 52% 52% -13.2%
≤30d 445 -6.8% -15.7% 47% 46% -19.7%
≤90d 445 -6.8% -15.7% 47% 46% -19.7%
all 445 -6.8% -15.7% 47% 46% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 46% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 44% -27.4%
15% -31.1% 42% -34.4%
20% -37.9% 39% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $315.62 · official $315.62 (match) · 1644 history records