Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:20:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd99f…79bc crypto 877 markets active 3d ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$57 (+0%) realized +$57 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate57%507W / 388L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day101.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$41
14 days−$48
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 -19.8% -27.4% 44% 3% -11.4%
≤30d 895 -2.6% -11.9% 57% 10% -10.1%
≤90d 895 -2.6% -11.9% 57% 10% -10.1%
all 895 -2.6% -11.9% 57% 10% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 10% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 1% -18.7%
15% -28.0% 0% -26.6%
20% -35.1% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.62 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses507 / 388
Open positions0
Markets (closed)895 / 877
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day101.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 895 Trades
no open positions (32 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $13 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records