trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -39.9% | -45.6% | 12% | 12% | -28.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -39.9% | -45.6% | 12% | 12% | -28.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -39.9% | -45.6% | 12% | 12% | -28.7% |
| all | 17 | -39.9% | -45.6% | 12% | 12% | -28.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -45.6% | 12% | -28.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -50.8% | 12% | -35.6% |
| 15% | -55.5% | 12% | -41.8% |
| 20% | -59.9% | 12% | -47.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $410 | $325 | −$85 (-21%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $200 | $217 | +$17 (+8%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $200 | $207 | +$7 (+3%) |
| Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $200 | $204 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $200 | $197 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $200 | $193 | −$7 (-4%) |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Yes | 38¢ | 36¢ | $200 | $192 | −$8 (-4%) |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $100 | $84 | −$16 (-16%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $304 | −$297 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $307 | +$696 | +227% |
| Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden? | Jun 26 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 26 | $21 | +$122 | +596% |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $226 | −$220 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 Australia? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 United States? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Curaçao 2 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Curaçao 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany? | Jun 25 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $205 | −$200 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |