Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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D9 0xd99c…c6c6 crypto 912 markets active 1h ago coverage 193d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$609 (+0%) realized +$609 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate76%694W / 218L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$299per market
Trades / day11.2pace
Fees−$304est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2,122
14 days+$1,872
30 days+$2,082
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$2,367
sports 17% +$1,964
other 0% +$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -3.1% -12.3% 67% 50% -1.5%
≤30d 39 -18.8% -26.5% 67% 36% -3.6%
≤90d 268 -2.5% -11.8% 73% 30% -9.8%
all 912 -8.5% -17.2% 76% 19% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 19% -9.7%
10% -25.2% 11% -18.3%
15% -32.4% 6% -26.2%
20% -39.0% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -12% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$53 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

193d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$609
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses694 / 218
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$304
Open positions0
Markets (closed)912 / 912
History coverage193d
Avg bet$299
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 912 Trades
no open positions (165 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 17 $35 +$5 +14%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh Jun 16 $10 −$2 -15%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 15 $900 −$462 -51%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $16,001 +$1,742 +11%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $3,020 +$128 +4%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $3,938 +$711 +18%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $557 −$388 -70%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $151 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia Jun 06 $613 +$115 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +11%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $200 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -45%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +4%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 02 $200 +$9 +4%
Alba Berlin vs. Brose Bamberg Jun 01 $10 $0 +2%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 01 $10 $0 +2%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 01 $20 −$20 -99%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $2,656 −$25 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +23%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs China May 31 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $2,401 +$113 +5%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $3,053 +$112 +4%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $502 +$63 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 21 $1 $0 +5%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 21 $44 +$11 +25%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 14 $261 +$24 +9%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $572 +$10 +2%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians May 10 $30 +$4 +13%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $3,419 +$118 +4%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings May 05 $2,844 +$125 +4%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings May 04 $10 +$3 +26%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 03 $30 −$30 -99%
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA May 03 $1 $0 +31%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 03 $25 +$11 +44%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans Apr 27 $25 +$5 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 100¢ $40 1h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 87¢ $35 35h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh SELL Bangladesh 9¢ $9 35h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh BUY Bangladesh 10¢ $10 35h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 51¢ $318 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 79¢ $503 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 22¢ $120 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 66¢ $101 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 73¢ $101 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 74¢ $195 2d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 100¢ $14,304 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 95¢ $5,007 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 66¢ $3,019 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 75¢ $504 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 75¢ $504 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 81¢ $503 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 80¢ $503 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 78¢ $503 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 79¢ $503 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 72¢ $504 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 31¢ $1,339 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 71¢ $2,100 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 47¢ $1,422 3d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 68¢ $3,029 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $34 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $681 3d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 94¢ $2,433 4d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 90¢ $3,009 4d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 70¢ $11 4d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 98¢ $3,628 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2995 history records