Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd99a…1f3e
sports · 1381 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$180 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$162
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses788 / 589
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1377 / 1381
History coverage55d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day34.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 1377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days−$53
14 days−$98
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 82¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+22%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 53¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $3 +$1 +27%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 +$11 +70%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $1 +$2 +158%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $2 +$1 +79%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 +$9 +90%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$10 +101%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +29%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $2 +$1 +34%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $3 +$4 +118%
Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 10 $4 +$3 +84%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $10 +$9 +90%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $8 +$14 +165%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $2 +$1 +79%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$7 +66%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $2 +$1 +55%
Shuai Zhang vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $7 −$1 -16%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +38%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $5 +$3 +64%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $3 +$3 +76%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $1 $0 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$178
other 23% −$6
crypto 0% $0
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 1h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 64¢ $1 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 82¢ $4 4h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 62¢ $1 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 5h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 23¢ $2 8h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 49¢ $1 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $1 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $14 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $4 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 20h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 75¢ $2 20h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 75¢ $2 20h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 75¢ $1 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $15 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $14 28h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 78¢ $3 31h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 57¢ $2 34h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 38¢ $1 34h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Robin Montgomery 55¢ $2 35h
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 53¢ $3 43h
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $10 45h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 83¢ $2 46h
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 49¢ $10 46h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 47h
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Portugal 35¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -3.5% -12.7% 55% 54% -16.0%
≤30d 386 +1.9% -7.8% 53% 52% -11.8%
≤90d 1377 +1.6% -8.1% 57% 52% -11.2%
all 1377 +1.6% -8.1% 57% 52% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 52% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 47% -19.7%
15% -24.9% 40% -27.4%
20% -32.3% 33% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.21 · official $13.21 (match) · 3302 history records