Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:04:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd998…7819
other · 234 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$67 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 223
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)233 / 234
History coverage124d
Avg bet$198
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 233 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$12
14 days−$23
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $314 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $54 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $585 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $432 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $251 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 13 $460 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $602 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 13 $253 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $209 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $231 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $248 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $430 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $314 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $150 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $444 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $204 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $136 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $461 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $128 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $244 $0 +0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $468 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $140 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $115 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $119 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $57 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $190 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $184 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $120 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $256 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $219 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $298 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $131 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 04 $392 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $459 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $374 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 03 $409 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $679 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $134 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 02 $206 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $131 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $545 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $264 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $498 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $366 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $409 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $144 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $402 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $341 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $230 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$38
sports 24% −$18
politics 8% −$4
crypto 6% −$5
culture 5% −$5
economics 4% −$3
world 3% −$2
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $54 1h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 1h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 3h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $54 5h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $54 7h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $54 8h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $54 9h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $54 11h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $54 13h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $54 17h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $54 19h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $54 20h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $54 21h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 23h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 25h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $55 26h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $55 28h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $55 29h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $55 30h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 32h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 33h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 35h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 36h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $55 38h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 40h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $55 41h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 43h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 44h
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 46h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 70 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 233 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.91 · official $53.91 (match) · 1233 history records