Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:00:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd98d…3299
crypto · 355 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses79 / 224
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions52
Markets (closed)303 / 355
History coverage29d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 52 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$19
14 days−$9
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Yes 34¢ 32¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 19¢ 24¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 32¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 94¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+33%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Bigetron by Vitality 23¢ 18¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-20%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? No 70¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 46¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+153%)
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-21%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 26¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+86%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 30¢ 18¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals Yes 64¢ 51¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-20%)
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-26%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +212%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 −$1 -13%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FI Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$9 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +87%
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FI Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +249%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +550%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +118%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$9 +420%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$6 +98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$33
sports 12% −$27
other 12% −$10
world 3% +$5
politics 3% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals BUY Yes 41¢ $1 35m
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 64¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 59m
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 23¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 13h
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 15h
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 15h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 26¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 16h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $2 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 16h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -7.8% -16.6% 32% 32% -16.1%
≤30d 303 -18.2% -26.0% 26% 26% -17.4%
≤90d 303 -18.2% -26.0% 26% 26% -17.4%
all 303 -18.2% -26.0% 26% 26% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.0% 26% -17.4%
10% -33.1% 25% -25.3%
15% -39.6% 23% -32.5%
20% -45.5% 22% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.79 · official $94.79 (match) · 635 history records