trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 80% | 20% | -4.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -25.9% | -32.9% | 57% | 14% | -38.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -25.9% | -32.9% | 57% | 14% | -38.8% |
| all | 7 | -25.9% | -32.9% | 57% | 14% | -38.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.9% | 14% | -38.8% |
| 10% | -39.4% | 0% | -44.7% |
| 15% | -45.2% | 0% | -50.0% |
| 20% | -50.6% | 0% | -54.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | Yes | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1,200 | $1,266 | +$66 (+6%) |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $906 | $901 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $800 | $804 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | No | 82¢ | 77¢ | $820 | $768 | −$51 (-6%) |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $494 | $488 | −$6 (-1%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 89¢ | $500 | $472 | −$28 (-6%) |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $392 | $391 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $258 | $258 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $76 | $76 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 20 | $1,298 | +$29 | +2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 20 | $800 | +$12 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 20 | $900 | +$13 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 19 | $500 | −$42 | -8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $1,000 | +$220 | +22% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1,500 | −$1,500 | -100% |