Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:57:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd968…5edb
crypto · 62 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses57 / 4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)61 / 62
History coverage112d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $19 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? Jun 06 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5? Jun 05 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $22 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $18 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 2? Jun 02 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? May 27 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? May 22 $24 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? May 18 $29 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15? May 15 $26 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 12 $21 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 11 $13 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 09 $24 $0 +0%
Will Ye said be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5? May 05 $8 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 05 $24 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Apr 27 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25? Apr 25 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? Apr 23 $16 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? Apr 22 $6 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21? Apr 22 $26 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 19? Apr 20 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18? Apr 18 $26 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? Apr 16 $27 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? Apr 15 $27 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? Apr 15 $33 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? Apr 13 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12? Apr 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 11 $21 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 10? Apr 10 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8? Apr 09 $33 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C or below on April 7? Apr 07 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 2? Apr 07 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29? Apr 01 $33 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27? Mar 28 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? Mar 27 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? Mar 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22? Mar 23 $32 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 19? Mar 20 $45 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18? Mar 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 17? Mar 18 $70 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% +$2
world 16% +$1
other 14% $0
weather 3% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $18 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $24 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $19 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $21 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $15 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $25 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $22 9d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $18 10d
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $16 12d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $18 13d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? BUY No 100¢ $20 17d
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $23 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? BUY No 100¢ $24 22d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $25 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 26d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $29 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $26 30d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $20 31d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $21 32d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 34d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $24 36d
Will Ye said be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5? BUY No 100¢ $8 40d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $24 41d
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $23 48d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 50d
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? SELL No 100¢ $6 52d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? BUY No 100¢ $16 52d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $26 54d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 19? BUY No 100¢ $16 56d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18? BUY No 100¢ $26 57d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 16 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 52 +0.1% -9.4% 96% 0% -9.4%
all 61 +0.1% -9.4% 93% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.17 · official $18.17 (match) · 138 history records