Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:24:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
D9 0xd967…a266 crypto 454 markets active 2h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$17,812 (+38%) realized +$17,812 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate63%327W / 195L
Whale WR69%big bets
Drawdown29%max
Avg bet$103per market
Trades / day87.5pace
Fees−$65est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,391
7 days+$3,788
14 days+$7,589
30 days+$9,975
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$12,393
sports 8% +$1,784
other 3% +$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -14.7% -22.8% 53% 46% +4.6%
≤30d 509 +6.2% -3.9% 63% 58% +8.7%
≤90d 522 +6.3% -3.8% 63% 58% +8.5%
all 522 +6.3% -3.8% 63% 58% +8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 58% +8.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 51% -1.9%
15% -21.4% 41% -11.3%
20% -29.1% 30% -20.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +20% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 69% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +26% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$77 vs −$78 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.67 per $1 lost it wins $1.67
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$17,812
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses327 / 195
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)522 / 454
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$103
Trades / day87.5
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 522 Trades
no open positions (178 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 23 $27 −$27 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 23 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 23 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $368 −$368 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 23 $388 −$388 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 23 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 23 $412 −$412 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 23 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $26 −$26 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $215 −$215 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 23 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 23 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 69¢ $69 1h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 69¢ $206 1h
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 70¢ $255 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $59 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.75 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records