Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd966…8136
crypto · 294 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$27 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses166 / 128
Est. fees paid−$254
Open positions0
Markets (closed)294 / 294
History coverage94d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 294 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$83
7 days+$61
14 days+$47
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $264 −$6 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $286 +$11 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $169 −$4 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $81 +$2 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $202 −$1 -0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $55 −$2 -3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 −$1 -1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$7 +97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $53 +$53 +100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $148 +$57 +39%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $217 +$1 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $230 −$3 -2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $463 $0 -0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $149 $0 -0%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $40 +$7 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $291 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 11 $34 −$13 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $12 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $45 −$12 -27%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $45 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $49 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 08 $25 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $25 −$13 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $50 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 04 $25 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$180
crypto 13% −$130
other 7% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $68 57m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 96¢ $13 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 96¢ $3 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 96¢ $12 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 96¢ $4 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 95¢ $32 58m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 16¢ $29 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 83¢ $66 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 83¢ $33 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 83¢ $33 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 18¢ $33 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 19¢ $32 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 19¢ $33 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 22¢ $31 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $0 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $15 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $6 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 23¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 4¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 34¢ $33 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 33¢ $33 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 94¢ $20 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 5¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 5¢ $15 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 5¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -2.5% -11.7% 50% 31% -7.8%
≤30d 177 -4.0% -13.1% 51% 19% -8.8%
≤90d 235 -4.5% -13.6% 56% 26% -9.1%
all 294 -4.9% -13.9% 56% 30% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 30% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 19% -18.0%
15% -29.7% 12% -25.9%
20% -36.6% 7% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2996 history records