trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 30% | 10% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +166.1% | +140.8% | 42% | 17% | -9.2% |
| all | 28 | +68.7% | +52.6% | 50% | 11% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +52.6% | 11% | -9.4% |
| 10% | +38.0% | 7% | -18.1% |
| 15% | +24.7% | 7% | -26.0% |
| 20% | +12.4% | 4% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $6 | −$1 | -18% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 24 | $27 | +$3 | +11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $42 | −$4 | -9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 23 | $62 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 22 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 20 | $42 | +$8 | +20% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 19 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 29 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Apr 23 | $1 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 23 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | Apr 21 | $11 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | Mar 29 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | -2% |