trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -35.9% | -42.0% | 36% | 21% | +16.5% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -40.5% | -46.2% | 27% | 14% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -43.1% | -48.5% | 26% | 13% | -10.6% |
| all | 23 | -43.1% | -48.5% | 26% | 13% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.5% | 13% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -53.5% | 13% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -58.0% | 13% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -62.1% | 13% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 10¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 17 | $67 | +$77 | +114% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -97% |
| Spread: Croatia (-3.5) | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Spread: Croatia (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $39 | −$38 | -97% |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $45 | +$49 | +109% |
| Croatia leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -97% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $88 | +$145 | +165% |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 13 | $55 | −$54 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 30 | $12 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | May 30 | $20 | −$7 | -35% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champio | May 30 | $38 | −$37 | -97% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | May 30 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 30 | $47 | −$18 | -39% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 23 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026? | May 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |