Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:16:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd952…0553
sports · 182 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$230 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized−$227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses80 / 86
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions16
Markets (closed)166 / 182
History coverage28d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day20.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 16 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$167
14 days−$111
30 days−$227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 35¢ 38¢ $30 $33 +$2 (+7%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? No 54¢ 56¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $30 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? No 56¢ 56¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 48¢ 48¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? No 67¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 72¢ 72¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 86¢ 86¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 48¢ 20¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-59%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-8%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Priscilla Hon 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Santiago Luna 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? No 37¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Vici Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 12 $44 −$7 -17%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $14 +$8 +58%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $25 −$11 -44%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $26 −$7 -27%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $26 +$5 +18%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $9 +$13 +146%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $3 +$2 +63%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $8 +$3 +45%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $11 −$6 -52%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $12 −$9 -76%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $4 +$1 +32%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $4 +$12 +292%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $8 −$2 -31%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $5 −$2 -35%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $5 −$3 -62%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3 +$2 +89%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $4 +$4 +100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $3 +$2 +59%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 09 $4 +$1 +30%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $6 +$2 +28%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$6 -61%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $3 −$1 -27%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $3 +$4 +112%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $6 −$2 -37%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $42 +$15 +37%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 08 $19 +$4 +22%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $23 −$16 -70%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $14 −$7 -47%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $41 −$27 -66%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $4 +$1 +29%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 07 $25 −$1 -3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guo Jun 07 $25 −$8 -34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 +$4 +41%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $6 −$3 -56%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8 +$5 +61%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $25 −$9 -38%
Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhu Jun 07 $25 −$11 -43%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $37 −$37 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 07 $25 −$25 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 07 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$7 -68%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $21 +$14 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$172
world 19% +$34
other 14% −$87
finance 6% +$22
economics 1% $0
crypto 1% −$17
politics 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 67¢ $3 26m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 67¢ $3 57m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 57¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $4 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 68¢ $3 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 59¢ $8 1h
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $4 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 52¢ $18 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 86¢ $7 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $12 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 63¢ $36 6h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 62¢ $22 8h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 38¢ $14 8h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ $7 8h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ $2 8h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ $5 8h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 68¢ $14 9h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 62¢ $25 9h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Henrique Rocha 14¢ $19 9h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 18¢ $26 9h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 84¢ $13 9h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 48¢ $29 10h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 91¢ $20 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $3 10h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Sorana Cirstea 37¢ $30 11h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 78¢ $17 11h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 30¢ $26 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $3 11h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Ajla Tomljanovic 93¢ $22 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -1.6% -11.0% 49% 43% -19.5%
≤30d 166 +2.6% -7.1% 48% 41% -17.3%
≤90d 166 +2.6% -7.1% 48% 41% -17.3%
all 166 +2.6% -7.1% 48% 41% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 41% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 36% -25.2%
15% -24.1% 27% -32.4%
20% -31.6% 23% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $171.63 · official $171.63 (match) · 584 history records