Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd934…60a0
weather · 348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$191 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$187 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$9,238
Realized+$187
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses285 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions34
Markets (closed)314 / 348
Avg bet$269
Trades / day475.8
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 34 History 314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days+$171
14 days+$187
30 days+$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $501 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $499 −$1 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $499 −$1 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $498 $499 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $500 $498 −$2 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $494 $494 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $494 $494 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $382 $382 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $365 $365 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $303 $303 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $255 $256 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $250 $250 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $250 $250 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $250 $250 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $244 $243 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $216 $217 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $145 $145 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $116 $116 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $113 $113 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $103 $103 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 Jun 12 $418 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 1 Jun 12 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $43 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on June Jun 12 $219 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 13? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $120 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on June 14? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $498 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 12? Jun 12 $261 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $508 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $689 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on June 13? Jun 12 $269 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $222 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $223 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $568 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $366 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $121 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on June Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $629 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $24 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $537 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $357 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 12? Jun 12 $409 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $307 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on June 11? Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 12 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $500 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 13? Jun 11 $80 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 12 Jun 11 $200 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on June 12? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June Jun 11 $500 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 11 Jun 11 $24 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $500 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $27 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$283
sports 0% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $30 8m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $8 8m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 SELL No 100¢ $8 9m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 SELL No 100¢ $35 9m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 SELL No 100¢ $32 9m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 SELL No 100¢ $343 9m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $59 12m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 13 SELL No 100¢ $20 18m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 18m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $382 22m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 25m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 26m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $10 26m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 26m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 31m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 1 SELL No 100¢ $1 31m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $12 32m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 13 SELL No 100¢ $8 33m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 39m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 44m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $15 50m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $20 55m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 1 SELL No 100¢ $12 57m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $17 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 1 BUY No 100¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 13 SELL No 100¢ $16 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on June SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 314 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 314 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 0% -9.3%
all 314 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover475.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.3% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,238.13 · official $9,237.88 (match) · 3500 history records