trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 26 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Jan 25 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 25 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Saints win the NFC Championship? | Oct 28 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 29 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Titans win the AFC Championship? | Jul 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| West Ham United wins the Premier League? | Jul 11 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Southampton wins the Premier League? | Jun 09 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | Jun 09 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 08 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 11 | $0 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 26 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Manchester United wins the Premier League? | Jan 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 27 | $96 | $0 | -0% |