Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:43:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd92f…3546
crypto · 839 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$302 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$302 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$302
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses521 / 318
Open positions0
Markets (closed)839 / 839
History coverage38d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day31.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$230
14 days−$67
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14? No 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 25? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 9? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 24? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14? No 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$6 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$6 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$5 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$6 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$6 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$254
weather 28% −$57
other 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -10.3% -18.8% 54% 53% -31.8%
≤30d 712 +3.7% -6.2% 60% 58% -12.9%
≤90d 839 +2.6% -7.2% 62% 60% -13.7%
all 839 +2.6% -7.2% 62% 60% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 60% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 50% -22.0%
15% -24.2% 37% -29.5%
20% -31.6% 27% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.00 (match) · 1398 history records